BJP looks to become a beneficiary in Tamil Nadu

Although the political scenario in the Southern most state Tamil Nadu looks quite confusing on the face of it but by and large and on the whole it looks that ultimately the Bharatiya Janata Party is set to become the major beneficiary.

Well there are multiple reasons now being put forth in the poll bound state for foreseeing such an outcome which is quite contrary to the earlier results so far.

The interesting characteristic of both the main two Dravidian parties,Dravida Munnetra Kazagham(DMK) and All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazagham(AIADMK) is that they have alternately aligned with the Bharatiya Janata Party and Congress whenever the national parties were in power at the center.

And after sharing,enjoying the fruits of being in office both of them have found enough valid reasons to desert them and also isolate them for the subsequent term!

This time around and as expected the ruling AIADMK combine is in alliance with the BJP led NDA while the main opposition party DMK is hand in glove with the Congress led Mahaghatbandhan.

One more stark reality about the sycophancy ridden and one person worship politics over influenced by yesteryear film personalities is that the so called national parties have no significance here unless they join hands with either of the two regional outfits.

In that way and ever since the early 60's onwards the state continues to be ruled only by one of these two Dravidian parties and the national parties can have a berth only if the DMK or AIADMK consents for.

But when it comes to occupying plum positions at the center both of them don't mind going to any extent including pressurizing,threatening,blackmailing and even pulling down the government.

Likewise this time also after 23 May, political observers opine that both these sworn regional enemies will be vying with one another to climb the ladder of power at the center.

Many of them even foresee a plight of the DMK ditching the grand alliance and joining the bandwagon of the BJP led NDA alliance if at all it manages to wrest the maximum number of seats.

MR Pattabhiraman,social activist turned Tamil novelist asserts:In the event of the Congress led alliance forming a government and DMK gaining majority of the seats without hesitation will be part of it and even if the BJP returns to power it'll no big a surprise if the same party jumps to the ruling front.

He also says:Unlike the previous Parliamentary polls when either of them used to sweep routing the other rival this time for a change it is expected that both the DMK and AIADMK combine will share more or less an equal number of seats.

The AIADMK workers may abstain from campaigning to the BJP candidates and in all likelihood the BJP may lose the lone constituency it represented.On the other hand both the DMK and AIADMK are set to win a minimum of 10 seats each while TTV Dinakaran's Amma Makkal Munnetra Kazhagam(AMMK) looks like grabbing the Tanjore seat.Here the granddaughter of the erstwhile royal family is likely to be fielded,he adds.

The psyche of Tamil Nadu people is very peculiar,thanks to the DMK as though the state is part of India politically the people are emotionally altogether a different entity.Some of the leftovers' of the LTTE have relocated into the state and have also made inroads into the any number of political outfits propagating a separate nationhood for Tamilians spread all over the world,laments SR Ramanujan,veteran journalist.

Late M Karunanidhi was a great orator and hated the forward communities.  In that respect MK Stalin is a unworthy son as he continues to commit any number of flaws during electioneering campaign related speeches.The AIADMK government may be unpopular but that factor alone will not bring votes to the DMK,he feels.

The AIADMK front may bag 3-4 seats in South Tamil Nadu,dominated by urban middle class.Kanimozhi,daughter of late M Karunanidhi is claiming to belong to the Nadar community in Thoothukudi constituency as the constituency is dominated by Nadar people.All along the forward communities were alienated but for political convenience everyone needs to embraced,jocularly remarks SR Ramanujan.

On the impact of film stars in the current elections he is candid:Captain Vijayakanth is terminally ill and in no position to venture for campaigning.Now it's his wife who calls the shots in party affairs and is said to have no conducive rapport with the cadre.His DMDK may be able to garner the Telugu Naidu community votes but that alone will not enable him to win from anywhere.Kamal Haasan doesn't even have enough candidates to boast off while superstar Rajnikanth as usual has no proclaimed stance and continues to exhibit his cowardice in plunging to active politics.

Hindusthan Samachar/Manohar Yadavatti